Going into great depth is quite hard as there is so much information that can be put into so many categories. So far I have just focused on the river play. 197 hands were played.
Rivers checked down: Kangaroo wins 4 Sansone wins 16
Rivers I check he bets I call win: 0
Rivers I check he bets I call and lose: 2
Rivers he leads out betting I call and win: 0
Rivers he leads out betting I call and lose: 0
I check river he bets I fold: 5
He leads out betting river I fold: 5
River he check raises I fold: 1
River I lead out betting he folds: 4
River I lead out betting he reraises : 1
It may seem like a very small sample yet out of approximately 197 hands (he sat out around 20 of those) around 38 reached the river. His play was virtually perfect. I could probably better categorize the analysis but I don't want to spend days driving myself mad and spent just a couple of hours looking over the hands. Sure I could have gotten a bigger sample but that would probably mean losing another $20,000? If I study the turn and flop play the numbers would be pretty much similar. When he is good and it is marginal he checks and wins almost everytime, when I don't have a hand I can call a bet with he bets and wins virtually everytime. When I bluffed he check raised me. The only people who can looking into this properly are betfair poker. Wait I rephrase, the only people with all the information are betfair poker (and possibly sansone). The ten river bets I fold to they can see what he had. For betfair to investigate it would definitely mean someone with less experience than me looking over the hands. Would they even know what to look for? 197 hand sample is pretty much enough for me when the play is this perfect. Win virtually every showdown, know exactly when to bet river when opponent will fold in and out of position. Shove all in on flop and win as 20% shot, check raise on turn with air and 10% shot and hit. Bet I call and always lose when I do.
I lost $15,000. This is not even in my top 20 losses, maybe in my top 50. I have played millions of hands, run great and run so poorly. For an opponent definitely not rated as one of the best in the world nor even good to play such a perfect game is absurd. Most players have patterns, yet this was so random it worked perfect. One ridiculous flop all in wins, one turn check raise into such small pot resulting in 10-1 suckout next card and big pot. If a player regular check raises on the turn and regularly shoves all in overbets on the flop fair enough. But to do certain actions so infrequently yet each time it works out perfectly against the odds is very strange. There are no sour grapes when it comes to losing as I just said this is possibly in my top 50 losses. The nature of the games was like something I have never encountered in over 100,000 heads up sng across various sites and over an estimated 10,000,000 poker hands played.
